Accuracy of the Mincer Method for Dental Age Estimation in a Honduran Population

Aim: This study aims to determine the accuracy of the Mincer method for estimating dental age (DA) using digital panoramic radiographs (PR) in a Honduran population aged 14-22 years. Materials and Methods: This observational, cross-sectional, retrospective study was applied in a sample of 134 digital PR from a private dental center in Comayagua (72 females and 62 males; mean age 18 ± 3 years). A calibrated observer (kappa ≥0.83) analyzed DA with the Demirjian and Mincer method in all third molars (3M) from stage D (complete crown) to H (apex closure) differentiating by sex. The decimal DA of each individual was calculated from the average of the four 3M. Estimation of chronological age (CA) according to the Mincer method was obtained with linear regression formulas. Results: The results revealed that the mean and standard error of the difference between CA and DA was 0.58 ± 0.13 years (male 0.5 ± 0.19 and female 0.65 ± 0.19). Age groups showed higher overestimation (>1.1) from 14 to 17 years (50%-100%), agreement (±1.1 years) at 18 years (66.7%-70%), and underestimation (<-1.1) from 21 and 22 years (42.9%-100%; P = 0.000). The prediction equations of CA according to DA were statistically significant (P = 0.000) explaining 66.5% of the total sample (error = 1.465), 84.5% in males (error = 1.367), and 79.3% in females (error = 1.548). Conclusion: This study concludes that the Mincer method obtained a reasonable prediction to estimate the age of the majority with improvement in the adjustments with the age estimation formula in a specific population in Comayagua, Honduras.